Exact(5)
However for both forecasts and what if scenarios consisting of external factors, i.e. factors beyond the control of the intended scenario user but deemed important to consider, no prioritisation of scenarios need to be made as there are respectively no distinct alternatives to choose from nor strategic decisions to be made for scenario users.
*Data reflect calculations made for scenario 8 by changing assumed percentages of subclinical cases of influenza.
*Data reflect calculations made for scenario 6, outcomes of assuming different vaccine effectiveness.
*Data reflect calculations made for scenario 7 by estimating changes in assumed effectiveness first dose of vaccine among children 6 months–9 years of age.
Data reflect calculations made for scenario 5 by estimating effects of moving the start date of the program to begin 8 weeks to 1 week earlier.
Similar(3)
Based on comprehensive knowledge represented in the research consortium, it was a unanimous decision that it would make no sense to consider the B1 scenario since the assumptions made for this scenario are meanwhile outdated.
For the two versions of AF, the same observation can be made for this scenario: decoding the additional signals first yields higher total exchange rate.
Another limitation that concerns both bias adjustment and extrapolation from animal to human is the potential for the introduction of extra uncertainty through the (usually arbitrary) assumptions made for each scenario under consideration.
Related(20)
made for case
tested for scenario
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
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