One approach is to prove the conjecture wrong.
"That's not a judgment about how it should be," he reiterated, adding that new research "may prove my conjectures completely wrong". Next, Mr. Summers suggested that fewer women than men are outstandingly good or outstandingly bad at math.
If he has studied the history of textual criticism he will know that as a matter of demonstrable fact nearly all conjectures are wrong, and he will accept that many of his solutions are in the nature of things provisional.
But, if the guesses came first, how could you tell the right conjectures from the wrong ones?
Excellent men should leave us even their conjectures; they are wrong if they wish to give us only those truths that are certain" (Leibniz to Huygens, Dec. 29, 1691, in Huygens 1888, 10 228).
This conjecture is incorrect.
But, as one conjecture after another was proved wrong, the specialists lost interest; many then insisted that the cause of Bertrand's illness lay in someone else's area of expertise.
They added that the Global Witness report was a "recycling of ambiguous commentary and conjecture" and included "no substantiated evidence of any wrong doing by Trafigura".
This rehashed gumbo of facts is what's currently clouding our thinking on the iTablet and creating a mess of conjecture and prediction that, in the end, will be wrong.
Further, one who asserts, conjectures, or guesses that P is right or wrong on the issue of P depending on whether P is in fact so.
But in the media mistaken conjectures tend to be quickly forgotten, so there's little downside to being bold and wrong.
