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"would not likely" is a correct and usable phrase in written English.
You can use it when there is doubt that something will happen. For example, "The tornado warning has been issued, but the rain would not likely cause any damage."
Exact(60)
While another country's success might injure our pride, it would not likely injure our wallets.
It can bite off some pieces and the government in Kiev would not likely survive.
Horace would not likely have envisioned instructions quite as mundane as "tackle a nagging task".
If Henson gave up baseball, the Reds would not likely get any adjustment in the trade.
The comment was revealing, one that would not likely be heard from the United States government.
So Mailer would not likely have the good sense to be posthumously embarrassed either.
He said that a coach would not likely be named before Wednesday's draft, although he has conducted five interviews.
Contrary to what you suggest, absent the law, prices would not likely have caused such a job and energy bonanza.
It was not much of a sword, but she would not likely run into somebody with a better one".
But most analysts said American's proposed takeover of part of US Airways would not likely cause fares to fall.
Still, the effort to expand the Buick Classic's appeal would not likely be as effective without Woods's appearance.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com