Exact(6)
The actual number of storms should fall within the forecast 70% of the time per the NHC.
It was well within the forecast's margin of error, but enough to overcome the levees and spill more than two miles into the city.
We pay attention to whether the next qualifying event in the sequence will occur in the forecast period or not, regardless the event timing within the forecast period.
The maximum load-carrying rates of all branches are obtained with wind power scenarios generated within the forecast intervals by Monte Carlo simulation.
The added value of MCP-MT is the identification of the probability that a critical situation will happen within the forecast lead-time and when, more likely, it will occur.
The following year was just as anomalous, with >28 million fish returning to spawn (S. Grant, unpublished data), nearly three times the median predicted by the run size forecast models, but still within the forecast range (Grant et al. 2010).
Similar(2)
Because of the uncertainties that lay within the forecasting process, decisions are subject to uncertainty.
It recently announced plans to build a $400 million to $700 million glass-melting plant within China under the forecast that the country will see a 70% growth in the LCD TV market.
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