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3. How does the survey compare with the polling firm's surveys in other states?
Recently, however, I have been growing less comfortable with the polling.
The early-voting figures in these states tell a story that seems to be consistent with the polling.
"People are tired of old identities, this nationalist divide, this religious divide," said Selcuk Sirin, a professor at New York University who helped with the polling.
In all but three years, the partisan bias in the polls was small, with the polling average coming within 1.5 percentage points of the actual result.
Writing in The Guardian, Alberto Nardelli, the news organization's data editor, said there was no simple explanation to what went wrong with the polling.
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Photograph: Paul Vreeker/ United Photos/Reuters Votingis continuing in the Netherlands today, with the polls closing at 8pm BST.
The demographic models agree with the polls.
They might start with the polls.
Let's start with the polls.
Sharon, it is said, never bothered with the polls.
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