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Weather patterns are causing problems across Uganda, with rainfall unpredictable.
Then came an April, with average rainfall and a May and June with rainfall above average.
Here is the most recent NOAA map with rainfall predictions for the next five days.
The year as a whole was mild with rainfall close to average.
"With rainfall of that magnitude, it you get similar situation, yes, it can occur," he said.
In Katine, the two rainy seasons each year have been disrupted, with rainfall now irregular.
Changing seasons are more associated with rainfall than with temperature variations.
NCAR thinks the climate would be hotter and wetter, with rainfall about 10% heavier than now.
This year was the third year of drought, and the most brutal, with rainfall down by 70percentt.
The long-range forecast for 2008 was for a summer warmer than average with rainfall near or above average.
Mr Chaney does identify some conquered countries with rainfall levels similar to those of unconquered Muslim states.
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