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Who is going to win? Turnout would be decisive.
For Jones to win, turnout needs to look like 2016's turnout, something that has never happened in a non-presidential election cycle, let alone in a special election in December in Alabama. 1. Doug Jones needs to siphon off at least 20% of Republican voters.
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"What has happened in previous caucuses and primaries, we win when turnout is high, we lose when turnout is low," Sanders said.
If, as many Democrats believe, they simply want to reduce turnout because they have a tendency to win low-turnout elections and lose high-turnout contests, Republicans can ignore or nitpick the recommendations, despite Ginsberg's impeccable partisan credentials.
Someone will win the turnout war.
But the psychological boost from beating Sanders in a state where he had claimed he might win if turnout was high enough should now help Clinton return to her original strategy of turning to Trump and the general election contest.
Professor Michael Munger said for Trump to win, voter turnout would need to be low.
Both parties can win high turnout elections, as reflected by presidential wins by George Bush in 2004 and Barack Obama in 2008.
"Republicans are more likely to win low-turnout elections.
Democrats are more likely to win high-turnout elections — everyone knows that at this point," Issacharoff said.
Even at its peak in 2009-10, Tea Party Movementment had the political juice to do one thing, which was turn out an energized army of Fox-watching zombies to win low-turnout primaries, as they did in Alaska with Joe Miller, in Nevada with Sharron Angle, and most famously in Delaware with Christine O'Donnell in Delaware.
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