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But it has the advantages of not requiring people to have perfect information about the future, and being applicable to any disaster not just climate change, but flu epidemics or widespread warfare.
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Their reduction in numbers was exacerbated by widespread intertribal warfare (once the Maori had acquired firearms) and by warfare with Europeans.
Reorganised under Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi in 2010 after the death of the previous leader, Isis took advantage of the Syrian uprising of 2011 to expand its forces and resume widespread guerrilla warfare.
Bombing chemical weapons factories could lead to the release of further chemical weapons, trigger widespread regional warfare and cause the deaths of millions of other innocent people.
The most recent Israeli-Gaza conflict was the first to see the introduction of widespread social media warfare.
In 1983, when there was a widespread fear of chemical warfare in the West Bank, more than 900 Arab schoolgirls and a few female Israeli soldiers exhibited the symptoms of having been gassed, but doctors found no specific cause for the outbreak.
In view of the ensuing warfare, the widespread incidence of disease, and the rapid turnover among the occupants of the imperial throne, it would be easy to assume that little was left of either the traditional fabric of Greco-Roman society or the bureaucratic structure designed to support it.
Regional leaders are very concerned that Congo could be descending into another period of heavy warfare and widespread displacement similar to what it suffered in the mid- to late-1990s when rebel groups and foreign armies carved this vast country into fiefs.
Threats of gang warfare and widespread crimes went unrealized.
Guerrilla movements active throughout the mid-20th Century in Mexico are a mostly forgotten element of the nation's past, written out of official history books despite widespread rural and urban warfare with government forces, guerrilla kidnappings of bankers and politicians, and documented state massacres and disappearances.
The CNR also suggests that post-communist gun warfare led to widespread irresponsibility among gun owners.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com