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The inputs to the ANN model consisted of weekly rainfall, evaporation, river stage, water level in the drain, pumping rate of the tubewells and groundwater levels in these wells at the previous time step.
This storm system prolonged an ongoing heavy rain event, which began across Arkansas and Missouri on April 22. Weekly rainfall totals reached 19.73 inches 6 mile east-northeast of Springdale, Arkansas, 16.20 inches 4 mile northwest of Poplar Bluff, Missouri, and 14.96 inches at Westville, Oklahoma.
All other habitat types had at least two to eight of their habitats dry at any given sampling visit between early February and late March when average weekly rainfall ranged from 0.62 34.4 mm.
We estimated significant effects of weekly rainfall on malaria incidence after accounting for distributed lag effects.
As independent variables, weekly averages of minimum temperature, RH, sunlight duration, and total weekly rainfall were included in multivariate models.
For subsequent analysis, we aggregated weekly rainfall values into four-week interval values, by adding the individual weeks' rainfall values.
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The weekly cumulative rainfall during the study period ranged from 0 388 mm with higher amount of rainfall recorded between October and January.
Moreover, moderate weekly cumulative rainfall partly sustained the HFMD endemic during the study period.
About 80% of the weekly cumulative rainfall was below 75 mm.
Additionally, a unit (mm) increases in weekly cumulative rainfall between 0 75 mm elevates risk of HFMD incidence by 0.3%.
Simultaneously, one mm increase of weekly cumulative rainfall below 75 mm increased the risk of HFMD by 0.3% (CI = 1.002 1.003).
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