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Every 1 mm increase in rainfall up to 14 mm of weekly average rainfall over lag 0 4 weeks was associated with decreased mortality risks.
In Abhoynagar, every 1 mm increase in rainfall up to 14 mm of weekly average rainfall over lag 0 4 weeks decreased the mortality risk and above 14 mm increased the risk.
Weekly average rainfall and minimum temperature from 2003 to 2012 were included in the wavelet analysis, since it has been shown that these two climate variables explain an important part of the total variance of dengue cases in coastal Ecuador [ 26].
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Weekly death counts regressed on weekly average temperature and rainfall may have smoothed out some short-term effects.
Weekly average temperature and cumulative rainfall were computed or aggregated from daily weather data.
These include: citywide weekly average relative humidity, temperature (°C), rainfall (mm) and level of the Don Dien River of HCMC (cm above or below long-term average river level) during 2005 2010.
This finding is consistent with the finding that in Dhaka, every 10 mm increase in rainfall above the threshold of 45 mm of average rainfall over lags 0 8 weeks was associated with increased weekly number of hospital visits due to cholera and non-cholera diarrhea in 1996 2002 (Hasizume 2007, 2008).
Four weekly meteorological variables were included in this study: average temperature, average relative humidity, average rainfall and average wind speed.
In Townsville, the mean weekly incidence of autochthonous DF increased 10-fold when 3-week lagged moving average rainfall was ≥27 mm, but it only increased 1.8-fold when rainfall was <27 mm during January to June.
Projections of weekly average values over the representative 7-year simulation are shown in Supplemental Material, Figure S4, for simulations that accounted for changing rainfall only, and in Figure 4 for the simulations changing rainfall and temperature.
Most months, average rainfall exceeds four inches.
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