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We shouldn't adopt expensive countermeasures until we have certainty.
"We know we have certainty of uncertainty," said the Schalke sporting director Horst Heldt.
"The important thing is we have certainty," David Bailey of the Bank of England told the Financial Times.
Once we have certainty (as in the 204-pirate scenario), all the pirates between #2 and #n-200 become indifferent again for the scenario with one more pirate.
Thompson added that given the significant financial liability that "we would face were we to delay our investment decision until we have certainty over the final support level for dedicated biomass, we have decided to cancel the project".
Second, we have certainty with respect to quite a lot of causal judgments derived from experience.
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Further, when our arguments do not contain conditionals, if we have certainty-preservation, probability-preservation comes free.
"We had certainty that when the Americans attacked the war would finish very quickly and no one would suffer any more and then we'd be able to stop tightening our belts.
In the words of Alpha PCT's finance director : 'at least we had certainty having the block contract, so there was no risk associated with that contract…it was affordable and it capped our risk, so we decided, you know, perhaps in the circumstances it was a price worth paying, if you like'.
We'll simply build elsewhere so that we can have certainty: even if that is at the expense of higher prices.
So we can have certainty, and theories that merely summarise experience, if we wish.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com