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He has revised up the Bank's growth and wage forecasts.
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The revised statement on Wednesday instead put growth at less than a fifth of that: 0.5%, with wages forecast to fall slightly year-on-year until 2020.
The big caveat is that both the GDP and wage growth forecasts depend heavily on the "long-awaited return to sustained productivity growth" which I have written about before.
As Neumark et al. (2013) show, using a mixed strategy that uses the trend in within-occupational educational attainments alongside a validity check on their wage effects, forecasts that rely on static O'NET, and expert-based data could significantly underestimate the future demand for high-skilled jobs.
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