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Most of the variation in outbreak intensity, as measured by defoliation intensity, was accounted for by variables pertaining to tree size, indicating a preference for more mature trees.
We investigate whether flock-level, PrP-based risk factors can be identified which account for the wide variation in outbreak sizes seen across the flocks, or whether the variation is better attributed to stochasticity in disease dynamics.
There is wide variation in outbreak reporting practices among FDOSS users.
To quantify the relative variation in outbreak characteristics identified by each definition, a kernel estimation method was used.
To test the consistency and comparability of such an approach we measured variation in outbreak characteristics when applying a single definition to all 27 Brazilian states (Fig. 3).
This allowed us to measure relative variation in outbreak characteristics, between for example two different states, by taking into account the spread of the highest density regions.
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8 The infectious etiology of ARF was long suspected, especially given the seasonal variation in outbreaks, and in 1900 Poynton and Paine described a diplococcus isolated from patients with ARF, which they implicated as a causal organism for the disease.
The interannual variations in outbreak scale were considerable, ranging from 45 confirmed patients in 2004 to 766 in 2006.
Ascertained outbreaks varied geographically and were incomplete, as demonstrated by the large variation in reported outbreaks (Table 3).
Sensitivity analyses should be used to explore the effects of recognised uncertainty in the specification of parameter values or distributions, and identify the variables which contribute to variation in simulated outbreaks and detection performance.
Annual variation in GI.6 outbreaks was assessed by χ test for trend, and GI.6 seasonality was identified on the basis of visual examination of trends over time and compared with non-GI.6 seasonality by using Mid-P exact test.
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