In addition, there are strong variations in forecast quality with streamflow amount, forecast lead time, season and aggregation period.
There is an interesting variation in the forecasts that can be explained as a variation of contexts of the actors.
Why so much variation in the forecasts?
Gathering his forces at the city's Emergency Management Command Center in the World Trade Center, Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani voiced some frustration with variations in the forecasts.
For the larger M w events (e.g., M w > 8.0), however, the tsunami sources significantly deviate from the point source, and the differences in the finite-fault size cause relatively large variations in the forecasts (Figs. 7, 8, 10a).
Additionally, research suggests that strong corporate governance enhances the reliability of voluntary disclosure of management earnings forecasts and results in fewer errors and less variation in analysts' earnings forecasts.
These observations may explain the seasonal variation in the differences between forecasting ionospheric products and the final CODE GIMs.
Horowitz M, Stewart B, Tingley D, Bishop M, Resnick L, Roberts M, Chang W, Mellers B, Tetlock P. What Makes Foreign Policy Teams Tick: Explaining Variation in Group Performance At Geopolitical Forecasting.
There is still no effective mathematical method and theory to be used for modeling and forecasting the variation in the permafrost groundwater.
The statistical approaches using various sources of data identified models that accounted for a high proportion of the variation in HFRS case numbers and forecast HFRS with good accuracy.
