Exact(1)
The dummy variable election is coded 0 for the pre-election August stage and 1 for the post-election November/December stage, but this timing makes no difference in predicting either renew or climate.
Similar(59)
Two election variables – election of the Finance official and use of term limits for City Council and the mayor – are evaluated to determine if a relationship with the prevalence of internal control weaknesses reported exists.
In a Swedish study, survival analyses showed that both neighbourhood social capital variables (election participation rate and crime rate) were significantly associated with mortality for males older than 65 years old but not for females [ 1].
Anyone who thinks this race has been especially wild need only look at the polling trajectory in 1976, 1980 or 1992 to get a sense for what a truly variable presidential election looks like.
Table 3 Descriptive statistics and conditional logit estimates, AEA elections, N=312 (dependent variable is "elected") a Mean Parameter Std.
Yet another variable in the election was James Soong, a renegade KMT politician who had nearly won the 2000 election and who entered the 2012 race in November.
The fallout from the storm has introduced another variable to the election, threatening to depress turnout in two downstate districts where Republicans had hoped to pick up Senate seats and fortify their majority.
This method of calculation means that Gallup is throwing out half of its sample (rather than, say, weighting the whole sample), and that is risky for the same reason that weighting for party is risky: it means that Gallup is relying on a key variable in the election — in this case turnout — remaining unchanged.
Conservative voters have thus become an unpredictable variable in the election.
Simple economic variables can account for a little less than half of the variability in election results.
Thus, while the raw rate of unemployment has been one of the least useful variables for forecasting election results, the rate of job growth during the election year (whether measured by this variable or by closely-related ones like the net change in the unemployment rate or the employment-to-population ratio) has held up pretty well.
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