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The results suggest that the proposed method can successfully capture the uncertainty in quantile estimates qualitatively using the prediction interval, as the number of observations falling within the constructed prediction interval is approximately maximized while the prediction interval is minimized.
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The SD used for the prediction interval was the SD of the difference between measured and estimated VO2max.
The influence of recalibration was evaluated statistically by using the 95% prediction interval for the mean of a future set of observations.
Reads that overlap the borders of the inserted TE are thus "soft-clipped" (subsequently referred to as "clipped") and are used to narrow down the prediction interval, the clipped site indicating the exact insertion breakpoint (Fig. 1b).
The user interface also supports selecting a confidence level using a slider which will render the prediction interval.
Two of these methods were based on confidence intervals and the third was the prediction interval derived using the Poisson cumulative probability distribution.
The prediction interval has been smoothed using the interpolation method proposed by Spiegelhalter [ 6] for aesthetic purposes only.
The width of the prediction interval is also minimized simultaneously.
The prediction interval was 3.65 6.35%.
Simulated concentrations below the quantification limit (BQL) were excluded, and not used in the calculation of the prediction intervals.
We used the experts-views and reduced the prediction intervals based on time series models and past forecast errors for the short and medium term.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com