Using poll data collected in 2010 and 2011, Pew found that 66 percent of women 18 to 34 years old said that being successful in a high-paying career or profession was "one of the most important things" or "very important" in their lives.
We also run brief, timely pieces (such as an infographic showing which politician appears on BBC Question Time most frequently), investigations (such as the EU unemployment story) and special projects (we used polling data during the last election to build interactives that told multiple stories).
Nate Silver, the American blogger who used polling data to successfully predict the result of the presidential election, has written a brilliant new book called The Signal and the Noise about "the art and science of prediction" and he says he studied the predictions made by pundits who appeared on a political discussion programme called The McLaughlin Group (ie, American MacKenzies).
The model uses polling data to predict Clinton's probability of winning a state if the election were held today.
One would apportion the ballots using the ratio of the Bush absentee ballots to the other absentee ballots in the county, and one would devise a formula based on likely voting habits using exit polling data from Voter News Service.
Using YouGov polling data, he found that less-informed voters who supported the law and less-informed voters who opposed it were equally likely to say that "the Supreme Court should be able to throw out any law it finds unconstitutional".
The self-described "tortoise and hare guy" on Monday dismissed using national polling data as a measure of performance so early in the campaign -- especially at a time when most voters are not paying attention to the nominating process.
Colleagues note that McCarthy is a shrewd consumer of "O," or opposition research, on the rival candidates he's targeting, and that he hones his message using polls, focus groups, micro-targeting data, and "perception analyzers" — meters that evaluate viewers' split-second reactions to demo tapes.
Second, we seek to use state polling data and national polling data in a holistic way.
"Satiation occurs at $95,000 for life evaluation and $60,000 to $75,000 for emotional well-being" with "substantial variation across world regions," concluded the researchers, who used Gallup polling data from 1.7 million people worldwide to reach these numbers.
The principle is similar to the Kalman filter model in that a loess regression uses available polling data to estimate a trend of where the polls are on average, but the latter model is much simpler and doesn't rely on thousands of simulations.
