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A YouGov poll has better news for the Tories: Conservatives 39% (unchanged) Labour 31% (-2) Lib Dem 20% (unchanged) 10.22pm: Some more details of that YouGov poll for the Sun.
On average, the Tory share in these byelections is unchanged; Labour is down by four percentage points; the Liberal Democrats' share is up by seven and Ukip is fractionally down.
As the chart shows, if Labour and the Tories had won identical shares of the national vote in the 1997, 2001, 2005 and 2010 elections (and abstentions and other votes had remained unchanged), Labour would nonetheless have romped home with scores more seats than the Conservatives.Finally, opposition talk of gerrymandering reflects a desire to make mischief for the Tory-Lib Dem coalition.
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Greenhouse-gas emissions are more or less unchanged since Labour came to power in 1997 (a better record than many countries, but hardly the promised transformation).
But after a campaign in which the main parties spent a collective £27m on advertising (in 1992, they had spent just £6.5m) the polls remained unchanged and Labour won by a landslide.
It puts the Tories on 38 per cent (unchanged since last month), Labour on 31 per cent (up two points), the Liberal Democrats on 19 per cent (no change) and other parties on 12 per cent (down two).
Despite some new rhetoric, the policy remains broadly unchanged - Labour will aim to balance the "current budget" (which excludes capital spending on investment) "as soon as possible", while the Conservatives are aiming for an overall budget balance.
Other seats in the West Midlands remained unchanged, with Labour holding all nine Birmingham seats.
Gateshead Borough Council remained unchanged with Labour holding 18 seats and the Liberal Democrats four.
The Tories are up one point on 33 per cent, Labour unchanged on 42 per cent and Lib Dems 10 per cent.
(a question best directed to Charlie Bean, Ian McCafferty and David Miles too) 5) How would conditions in the UK be different if he hadn't pledged to leave interest rates unchanged until the labour market recovered, last August?
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com