The average uncertainty in the prediction 24 h in advance was 8.9 h, while the uncertainty improved to 4.6 h when the event was 12 h away.
This data can be used to reduce uncertainty, improve the probability estimates and consequently enhance the management of rare events and associated risks.
The multiple weighing technique has advantages of increasing the collection time by collecting large water mass thereby reducing the diverter error, the main source of measurement uncertainty, consequently improving measurement uncertainty of the system.
We explore here the possibility of narrowing this uncertainty by improving the overall signal-to-noise ratio through the careful selection of low noise stations, so as to best resolve the moment tensor elements.
As CLM includes numerous sub-models and associated parameters, the high-dimensional parameter space presents a formidable challenge for quantifying uncertainty and improving Earth system predictions needed to assess environmental changes and risks.
The results clearly demonstrate the potential of 3D conditional simulation in directing exploration programmes and designing cost-saving structures; that is, by reducing uncertainty and improving the confidence in a project's success.
In hydrology, the mixture of experts framework has previously been applied successfully and demonstrated to address modelling uncertainty and improving the goodness-of-fit with respect to the observed runoff (Jeremiah et al., 2013; Marshall et al., 2006, 2007b).
The oil and gas (O&G) industry spends billions of dollars on data (e.g., production data, seismic data and tracer data) gathering and analysis for the purpose of reducing uncertainty and improving their understanding of the most salient features of the subsurface.
One study has measured the extent to which the use of values clarification exercises support (hypothetical) decisions about trial participation and found they lowered ambivalence and decisional uncertainty while improving the clarity of personal values.
The reduction in recharge uncertainty steadily improves as the uncertainty in observations reduces.
It does not differ much from strategies set more than a decade ago by the first Bush administration, which also called for reducing uncertainties and improving the accuracy of projections, some experts said.
