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There were actually pretty good models, including a widely cited one by Douglas Diamond of the University of Chicago and Philip Dybvig of Yale, that captured, at least in a crude way, the financial contagion that triggered crisis in 2008.
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However, semi-arid regions are characterised with limitations of water and forage that often trigger crisis situations during extreme climatic events, in particular during a drought.
Make sure your communicators are trained in communicating in a crisis so people know whom to contact when and when to trigger crisis management protocols.
Specifically, he examines the role of "liquidity crunch" in triggering crises.
If something like that happens in Greece, it will send shock waves through Europe, possibly triggering crises in other countries.
Since then, the Jordanian services sector has been experiencing an increasing number of risks that are likely to trigger crises or disasters.
One can only hope Turkey's fall doesn't trigger crises in other shaky countries as happened after IMF-induced disasters in Mexico (1994-95) and Thailand (1997).
His success triggered a crisis of legitimacy.
So what has triggered the crisis this time?
The controversy over the papers triggered a crisis in science.
The reduction in their income triggered a crisis.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com