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The causes of this trend date back to 2008.
In the statistical models, the association between temperature and suicide was estimated adjusting for sunshine duration, relative humidity, atmospheric pressure, time trend (date of suicide; as a linear term), and month.
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This is a long-term trend, dating back to 1955.
For Bangladeshi women, the trend dates back further (see chart).
There is a well-established trend dating back to the 1970s of people hitting early middle age, having children and fleeing.
My own research on the history of multifamily homeownership (for a forthcoming dissertation) suggests this trend dates in the United States to the introduction of the owner-occupied apartment in the late 19th century.
The trend dates at least to Elsa Schiaparelli, the fashion designer who famously deployed Salvador Dalí, Jean Cocteau and other surrealists to embellish her wares (she is the subject of "Shocking!," a current exhibition at the Philadelphia Museum of Art).
And a 2005 study in The New England Journal of Medicine predicted that average life expectancy in the United States would decline in the next 20 years as a result of unhealthy lifestyles, reversing a trend dating to the 1850s.
And once the downturn is over, Mr. McNamee is skeptical that spending on technology will ever return to its long-term trend, dating back to the 1960's, of increasing at two to three times the growth rate of the economy.
This article on Time magazine by Veronique Greenwood explains how this pattern works and how a new study by scientists who sifted through data on 1,500 ancient towns, villages, and cities that flourished in the basin of Mexico over the course of centuries has found that this trend dates back 2,000 years ago.
The international war on drugs continues to rage, with opium poppies extending a slow but steady comeback trend dating back to 2006.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com