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Two options for the trend are considered.
The major factors, namely, geomagnetic activity (Ap), solar Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) irradiance (F10.7p), periodic oscillations (annual, semi-annual, terannual and biennial oscillations) and long-term trend are considered in the model as input parameters along with real time TEC observations.
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This trend is considered too small to have practical meaning.
When both of those averages are reaching lows, the primary trend is considered bearish.
In particular, trend is considered as an important indicator of climate change.
A trend was considered to be statistically significant if it was significant at the 5% level.
This latter error trend is considered to directly reflect local variation.
The percentage of days exceeding the 90th percentiles (TX90p) gave positive trend with slope of 0.068 but the trend is considered insignificant.
If the MA is rising/declining by an amount larger than the band, the trend is considered up/down, and a buy/sell signal is issued.
If the shorter MA is above/below the longer MA by an amount larger than the band, the trend is considered up/down.
In this paper, the trend is considered significant if p value is less than 0.05 (New et al. 2006; Zhang et al. 2005).
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com