The best known was developed in the late 1970s by Ray Fair, an economist at Yale, who used macroeconomic indicators (such as inflation and the growth rate of income per person) to predict the vote share of the two main parties in subsequent elections.
After training, the created HMM classifier (i.e., the set of party models) was used to predict the vote intention of the users in the test set (mathit {Te}= { (mathbf {x}_{t},vi_{t} ) | (mathbf {x}_{t},vi_{t} ) notin mathit {Tr}, t =1,ldots,N_{t},vi_{t} neqO}), which is a set of vector and vote intention pairs ((mathbf {x}_{t}, vi_{t})) not used in the training set.
Is predicting the votes of potential justices a proper role for either the president or the Senate?
It is hard to predict the outcome of the vote.
Every participant in Voter News Service was free to predict the outcome of the vote.
"Both parties are imploding," which makes it even more difficult to predict the outcome of the vote, said Graciela Romer, a pollster and political consultant here.
The choice between the two bills is at the heart of this week's campaign debate in the House, and few of the lawmakers who will lead the debate on the House floor are willing to predict the outcome of final votes.
Given our system, it is often very difficult if not impossible to predict the consequences of our voting, beyond increasing one candidate's chance of election.
Mr. Logoglu said any vote on using Turkish bases or airspace could be handled separate from the issue of ground troops, but he said it was too difficult to predict the outcome of a vote in the 550-member Parliament.
