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The usefulness of any estimator to detect a decline can be jeopardized by false positives, that is detection of a reduction in N e when none occurred.
Power analysis identified that the power of the CD surveys to detect a decline in the legal biomass was >85%.
The predictive models were able to detect a decline in river health, responded to several causes of degradation and provided site-specific assessments.
Area of occupancy is a measure of distribution and the spatial scale at which the distribution is measured will affect the ability to detect a decline.
To determine whether methods were more likely than chance to detect a decline, we used two-tailed binomial tests since, in real life, surveyors would not know a priori whether a given population was increasing or declining.
This fortunate effect is fundamental in order to use the temporal approach to detect a decline.
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Even after seven years of 5% annual population decline, it was only about 50% more likely than chance to detect a population decline (binomial p<0.01).
False positives (i.e. type I errors) are a concern when designing a study or monitoring program to detect a population decline, because false positives can lead to the waste of conservation resources on populations not actually declining.
Depending on our assumptions, the power to detect a 50% decline over 10 years varied from 80%to100%0%.
These patients should be followed closely to detect a premature decline in immune function with aging in future decades of PEG-ADA therapy.
Secondly the STRIVE study is powered to detect a 50% decline in STI prevalence but it is possible that reductions may be less than this.
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