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For Sydneysiders, the study finds this "timing of climate departure" comes around four years earlier, in 2038.
For example, there is significant uncertainty about the ultimate scope and timing of climate change, the cascading effects on society and our capacity for adaptation.
We found that, on average, the projected timing of climate departure in marine and terrestrial biodiversity hotspots will occur one decade earlier than the global average under either emissions scenario.
The authors conclude: Our results on the projected timing of climate departure from recent variability shed light on the urgency of mitigating greenhouse gas emissions if widespread changes in global biodiversity and human societies are to be prevented.
Continuing uncertainty about the severity and timing of climate impacts, as well as the long timeframes involved, complicate the decision-making process.
This has aided in understanding the timing of climate events recorded in sediments (e.g., Antoniades et al. (2011); Barletta et al. (2010); Ledu et al. (2010)) and the dating of archeological and volcanic materials (see Lodge and Holme (2009), Pavón-Carrasco et al. (2009), and Villasante-Marcos and Pavón-Carrasco (2014)).
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The results are interpreted and the insights they provide on the timing issue of climate policy are discussed.
Predictions about future climate change depend critically on knowledge about the timing of past climate changes.
The expedition set out to unravel the timing of Neogene climate changes, in particular the evolution of the South Asian monsoon and fluctuations of the sea level.
This increase in sediment supply coincided with the timing of major climate cooling that occurred from ∼50 to 45 ka onwards.
Additionally, the design and timing of suitable climate policy interventions, such as various carbon taxation/trading schemes, must be integral in facilitating the development of low fossil carbon products and accelerating the transition to post-fossil carbon societies.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com