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The new figures show that, at the same time, enrolments grew from 57,400 in 2012 to 320,400 in 2015.
Even if Privy Council were to see fit to approve in bricks and mortar a statistical prediction, this would seem neither sustainable nor desirable set against a static demographic of school leavers, declining mature and part time enrolments, and a funding policy at present reducing, not stimulating, demand.
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Variables were generated to examine the differential effect of recorded exposures over time (enrolment vs follow-up).
While applications to full-time study have recovered, this is not the case for part-time enrolments.
At the University of Sunderland, similarly, full-time enrolments were 4%, or 119 students, below the HEFCE's target.
Part-time enrolments were particularly badly hit, and Morgan believes help with travel costs could be game-changing for part-time postgrad students in London.
At the same time, first-time enrolment of women in engineering has risen by 6.4% annually over the past decade, and by 14.7% annually for mathematics and computer sciences.
Similarly, at 'moderate research' PhD-granting universities, or those that focus more on teaching, first-time enrolment fell by 7.1% over the period, and total enrolment dropped by 5.6%.
It seems to be an attractive selling point, with full-time enrolment up 10 per cent (although part-timers are down 10 per cent as companies reign in sponsorship).
It has a full-time enrolment of 3,500 and a part-time enrolment of about 8,000.
These include on-time enrolment in Grade 1, lower grade repetition rates and retention in primary grades.
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