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"this would lead" is correct and usable in written English.
You can use it when indicating that something would have a resulting outcome. For example: If he kept up this pace, this would lead to exhaustion.
Exact(59)
Opponents said this would lead to recession.
This would lead to a weaker pound.
This would lead to stricter checks.
"This would lead to very serious repercussions.
This would lead to a severe slump on its own.
He could not imagine where all this would lead.
He knew full well that this would lead to howls.
"This would lead to healthier and more long-lived populations.
They were very concerned that this would lead to trouble.
This would lead to a European debt union.
Similar(1)
This would lead to an artificially inflated search space.
More suggestions(4)
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com