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This prevalence will triple (0.664 million) in Australia and increase five times (27 million) in China by 2050 [ 1, 2].
Currently, six million Europeans are diagnosed with AF, and it is estimated that this prevalence will double over the next 50 years [ 5].
They projected that this prevalence will increase to more than 5.6 million by the year 2050, with more than 50% of affected individuals being aged 80 years or older.
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If a survey includes the milder types, as the above study did, the prevalence will be much higher.
Predictive values, profoundly dependent on the prevalence, will not accommodate the rapidly changing epidemiology of influenza infection [5].
In contrast, the prevalence will be overestimated in populations with a medium to low true diarrhoea prevalence (e.g. <30%).
This high prevalence will have devastating economic and social effects over the medium and longer term.
Multimorbidity is present in around 70% of the adult patients attending primary care in Portugal [ 9], and this high prevalence will produce significant difficulties in the provision of medical care.
Sixty per cent of this increase in prevalence will occur among women.
In addition, it is unclear whether this decrease in prevalence will continue at the same rate over the next 20 years, or it will decrease further or increase at some undefined point so that the prevalence starts to rise.
During this phase, smoking prevalence will remain high among those in low socioeconomic strata, and thus there is a situation of growing inequalities in this major health determinant [ 19- 21].
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com