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The phrase "they figured" is correct and can be used in written English.
It is a common expression that means "they believed" or "they thought." Example: "They figured the project would take about a week to complete, but it ended up taking twice as long."
Exact(57)
They figured why not.
They figured out hotel accommodations.
They figured out every angle.
Somehow they figured it out.
"They figured it out.
They figured he doesn't need one.
The revolution was the problem, they figured.
"I'm just glad they figured it out.
They figured they could last 18 months, maybe 24.
So they figured, what's there to lose?
They figured we would be squashed.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com