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The technological scenario, on the other hand, points towards the technologies with the largest potential for technological progress: efficient lighting, and hybrid or electric cars.
The technological scenario considers increased penetrations of certain technologies (for example solar photovoltaics in electricity generation, high efficiency boilers in heating, electric cars) associated to possible cost reductions for these technologies until 2030.
We present the technological scenario of M2M communications consisting of wireless infrastructure to cloud, and machine swarm of tremendous devices.
Open image in new window Fig. 6 Energy savings potential for the technological scenario, Spain 2030.
In this section, we present the results for our three scenarios: the baseline, the technological scenario, and the political scenario.
Secondly, supporting technological progress can be an attractive option since this makes energy saving measures cheaper; the technological scenario of our analysis illustrates this.
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In this technological scenario 42% of the reduction can be achieved at negative costs, less than for the political scenario.
In the present technological scenario, functionally graded materials (FGMs) are being introduced by scientific community for a wide range of effective engineering applications especially in aerospace, nuclear reactor, bio-medical and military uses.
On the other hand, the electric vehicles and fuel-cell vehicles only account for 2.1 % in 2020 for the reference scenario and 4.3 % for the technological improvement scenario.
The electric vehicles in the reference scenario will increase to 3.5 million in 2030, while it is 5.1 million in the technological improvement scenario.
It appears clear that industrial strategy in the direction though standardization of components is producing a general reduction in terms of an effective minimization of costs but is producing much reduced advantages on an energetic point of view because of the consequent increase of the weight of vehicles, which accompanies this new technological scenario.
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