Sentence examples for the predictive distribution from inspiring English sources

Pearson's correlation between the predicted values (mean of the predictive distribution) and the observed PTA, Cor y ^ test, y PTA ), and predictive mean-squared error (MSE) defined as ∑ i = 1 2499 (ŷ i test − y i PTA ) 2 / n were computed to evaluate the predictive ability of the two kernels.

The time update stage that the previous observations and state used to predict the current state is encompassed by the predictive distribution which can be approximated as follows: (6).

A scoring rule provides a summary measure for evaluating probabilistic prediction by assigning a numerical score based on the predictive distribution and on the event or value that materializes (Garthwaite et al. 2005; Kneib et al. 2007).

The predictive distribution, as its name suggests, forms the basis for prediction of navigation ability for unobserved individuals.

For this reason, we used the Brier score for assessing the prediction ability of the proposed threshold model, which assigns a numerical score based on the predictive distribution.

The advantage of the proposed model is that KL GP provides the predictive distribution of the outputs and the estimate of the variance of its predicted outputs.

The predictive distribution functions are determined.

Results from this experiment suggest that the proposed method increases the reliability of probabilistic forecasts, particularly with respect to the tails of the predictive distribution.

It is shown, that the predictive distribution functions which are determined on the basis of the noninformative priors do not lead to rational decision rules.

In particular, a relevance vector machine is used to automatically select the most relevant terms of the model while retaining an analytical expression for the predictive distribution.

Our method is based on the risk neutralization of the predictive distribution of future survival rates using the entropy maximization principle discussed by Stutzer (1996).