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The phrase "the only thing certain" is correct and can be used in written English.
It is typically used when discussing something that is definite or known for sure. Example sentence: "Amidst all the chaos and uncertainty, the only thing certain is that we will always be there for each other."
Exact(36)
The only thing certain is uncertainty".
The only thing certain is change.
The only thing certain about this complex procedure is that the result is wide open.
The only thing certain about ambiguity is that it is a fixed part of medicine.
After all, the only thing certain about taste is that it changes.
KABUL, Afghanistan — To parse Ben Franklin, the only thing certain about life in Afghanistan is death.
Similar(22)
The only things certain to remain the same will be the flying lady, the distinctive Rolls front grille, and price tags that begin at about $210,000.
Benjamin Franklin once said that the only things certain in life are death and taxes.
Benjamin Franklin, who used his many talents to become a wealthy man, famously said that the only things certain in life are death and taxes.
The only thing for certain was that he couldn't stay here anymore.
He did not offer any predictions, saying that the only thing for certain in the situation is that "no one knows" what the outcome will be.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com