Exact(8)
Two categories of methods were available: those estimating the initial reproduction number, and those estimating a time dependent reproduction number.
The participant is then asked to reproduce the figure from memory both immediately after and 30 min after the initial reproduction.
As summarized by Wallinga & Lipsitch [ 4], the exponential growth rate during the early phase of an outbreak can be linked to the initial reproduction ratio.
This method, although introduced as "real-time bayesian" by its authors, more exactly allows sequential estimation of the initial reproduction number.
If this is not the case, the initial reproduction number will be overestimated, as secondary cases will be assigned to too few index cases: we implemented a correction as described in Additional file 1: Supplementary material S1.
If the epidemic is not observed from the first case on, overestimation of the initial reproduction number is likely since some initial cases are absent from the epidemic curve, and secondary cases will be imputed to too few index cases.
Similar(52)
The median initial reproduction rate (R) across all 51 outbreaks was 2 with a range of 0 to 38 (Table 3, Figure 2a).
In addition, the learning algorithm is less sensitive to the selection of initial reproduction vectors.
Adults were staged at eclosion and dissected at regular time intervals (1, 5, 7, 9, 13, 15, 17, 19 and 21 days after eclosion) to cover the sexual maturation and initial reproduction period.
It is difficult to directly compare our findings and estimates for initial R, the initial effective reproduction rate for smallpox, to these other studies.
The imitation of another individual's action requires observer's attention toward a sequence of body-movements, while an initial reproduction of movements may derive from one's attention to a local motion.
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