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The initial polling looked good for the Lib Dems.
The first debate may not have changed the dynamic of the race, or the initial polling numbers, but it may well have set the stage for a battle royal in the final weeks over the most costly and controversial single proposal put forward so far.
Indeed, the initial polling suggests that a considerable segment of Republicans continue to support Trump.
"The initial polling... finds it to be acceptable to the voters in California," Joseph told Wall Street analysts in a transcript of an Oct. 31 conference call.
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And the initial polls seemed to support that hunch.
Obviously, the opposition increases sharply, but most of that comes from undecided voters, who averaged 19percentt in the initial poll.
After the initial polls, some reports suggested that Orobets was trailing in the race, but she dismissed them as "propaganda".
Let's restrict it even further to measures that had at least 50percentt support in the initial poll – as the governor's measure does now.
The previous highest total of 4,150,260 was for a 2016 petition calling for a second referendum should the initial poll not provide a definitive enough result.
Those results should have been offset by a Romney win in Colorado where the demographics and the initial polls both favored the frontrunner.
The relationship between the quick-reaction polls and their eventual effect on the horse-race polls has historically been very modest, and has sometimes even run in the opposite direction of what the initial polls suggested.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com