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Labor's Paul Edbrooke is 336 votes ahead of the Liberal Sean Armistead in Frankston on a two-party preferred basis but, with 12 other candidates, both are waiting for the full preference distribution before claiming victory or conceding defeat.
"The full preference count is happening now and there could be some minor changes.
We have the full preference recount to complete and then the seat can be declared, I believe.
Jones told Guardian Australia the full preference allocation in the seat would continue into the weekend and that could still tip him over the line.
There were 12 other candidates in the seat and both the Labor and Liberal candidates were waiting for the full preference distribution before claiming victory.
Labor's Cathy O'Toole claimed victory on Tuesday evening, although the incumbent Liberal MP, Ewen Jones, maintains he might win the seat when the full preference recount is completed on the weekend.
Similar(52)
Forty-seven members of the lower house represent single-member electorates and are elected under the full-preference Instant-runoff voting (IRV) system for fixed four-year terms.
At press time, the AEC had not run full preference distributions for Queensland, New South Wales and Victoria.
However, as soon as a problem is detected, full preference is given to the observed values, as the old predictions cannot be trusted.
Going further and compiling a full preference ranking of the candidates would, no doubt, be difficult and costly.
We examine this standard "assignment" problem from the perspective of mechanism design giving up the usual assumption of linear preferences and instead using a full preference domain (with indifferences permitted).
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com