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The phrase 'that's not surprising' is correct and usable in written English.
You can use it when something has happened that is expected or predictable. For example: Given the current circumstances, that's not surprising that the store had to close for the day.
Exact(60)
Given cloud computing forecasts, that's not surprising.
Given her background, that's not surprising.
In some ways that's not surprising.
In a down economy, that's not surprising.
It's a tit for tat that's not surprising.
As Croatian isn't a widely-studied language, that's not surprising.
But that's not surprising.
Perhaps that's not surprising.
Well, that's not surprising.
No? That's not surprising.
Somehow, that's not surprising.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com