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One of the best examples is Sophocles' Oedipus, in which the protagonist discovers that his parents abandoned him as a baby in order to evade a terrible prediction that he would eventually kill his father and marry his mother.
A perfect prediction at 100% accuracy yields a MCC of +1, whereas a random prediction gives a MCC of 0 and a terrible prediction at 0 accuracy produce a MCC of -1.
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Inevitably, with industries as fast moving as media and technology, my 23-year-old self made a whole load of terrible predictions.
As it turns out, there have been a lot of terrible predictions made already during the course of 2012.
And when it comes to terrible predictions by those picking Obama to win, no one beats CNBC's Jim "No, no, no, Bear Stearns is fine" Cramer, who says, "The presidential race is nowhere as close as the polls suggest".
Combined with the fact that 2012 – when these seats were last contested – was a high-water mark, and it is only a year since Labour suffered an unexpectedly terrible defeat, predictions of electoral meltdown in England did not seem hyperbolic.
I'm terrible at actual predictions, though, which makes my hopefulness about the Red Sox this season a bad sign.
While his findings obviously don't apply to me, Tetlock demonstrated that pundits and experts are terrible at making predictions.
I've been utterly terrible at making predictions so far this year, so I might as well keep digging: New Jersey Washington Ottawa There.
In 2006, Philip E. Tetlock published a landmark book called "Expert Political Judgment". While his findings obviously don't apply to me, Tetlock demonstrated that pundits and experts are terrible at making predictions.
Predictable predictions?
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com