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Contours represent kg m-2 tephra accumulation on the ground.
However, where tephra accumulation was sufficiently large, and grass short, crops were smothered (Table 11).
After that, the crater surface changed with time due to numerous Vulcanian eruptions and tephra accumulation.
Isomass contours are in kg/m2 and describe tephra accumulation prior to 28th January (AIST, 2011).
Four variables need to be considered when displaying the probability of exceeding a given tephra accumulation, including geographic coordinates (Easting, Northing or longitude, latitude), a threshold of tephra accumulation and its associated exceedance probability.
In general the quality and quantity of harvest were reduced and was loosely correlated with tephra accumulation.
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Post-processing functions in TephraProb process the individual outputs of a given eruption scenario into probabilities of exceeding given thresholds of tephra accumulations.
Figure 6 c d show the probabilities of exceeding tephra accumulations of 10 and 100 kg m−2 following sub Plinian OES (Fig. 6 c) and Vulcanian V LLERS (Fig. 6 d) eruption scenarios at La Fossa volcano, respectively.
Fig. 8 Probabilistic isomass maps showing the typical tephra accumulations (kg m−2) for a conditional probability of occurrence of the hazard of 25%% (a) and 75%% (b) for a Long lasting Eruption Range Scenario scenario at Cordón Caulle volcano.
Following Bonadonna (2006), we quantify the probability of hazardous thresholds of mass accumulations using: P[M x,y) geq M_{T} mid eruption] where M x,y) is the tephra mass accumulation (kg m−2) accumulated at given locations and M T a mass accumulation threshold.
Tephra fall accumulation thresholds for clean-up actions are proposed by Hayes et al. (2015), the accumulation for Bariloche and Jacobacci compares relatively well with the predicted and actual clean-up actions (Figs. 2 and 18).
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