A trend line describes the tendency of some events such as road accidents in our case.
The output value is in the range [ 0, 1 ] and reflects the central tendency of distribution of events in time: the closer the value to 0 the most time values happened at the beginning of the group's life, the closer to 1, the most values near to the present.
Differences among species and among years in reproductive seasonality (the tendency for clusters of events to fall at approximately the same point in each year) and synchrony (amount of clustering of events within a year) have been intensively studied in bats, but are difficult to assess.
In tendency, this sequence of events was also observed in Xenopus laevis (Schlosser and Northcutt 2000; Schlosser and Ahrens 2004), Ambystoma mexicanum (Northcutt and Brändle 1995), Scyliorhinus canicula (O'Neill et al. 2007), chick embryos (D'Amico-Martel and Noden 1983; McCabe et al. 2009) as well as in the sheep, cat, and pig (Batten 1957; Halley 1955; van Campenhout 1936).
There may be a tendency for isolated pairs of events to group, thereby enhancing perceived synchrony, whereas perceptual grouping and timing perception might be more selective in cluttered conditions.
In other words, the best approach to strategy is to begin by identifying the tendencies that the flow of events make manifest, and then work with these tendencies to enhance their natural effects in the most efficient way.
It is argued that critical realism provides a framework that allows researchers to look at the nature of reality and at mechanisms that produce, or have the tendency to produce, events and experiences of those events.
Perhaps the tendency to reshape the course of events speaks of a desire to resist necessity and fate.
Humans are also bad at doing anything about problems that have not occurred yet (partially because of the availability heuristic – the tendency to overestimate the probability of events we know examples of, and underestimate events we cannot readily recall).
6) The "Availability heuristic," the tendency to overestimate the likelihood of events with greater "availability" in memory, such as recent, unusual or emotionally charged memories.
Secondly, "forward telescoping of events", a tendency to recollect episodes of e.g. spinal problems as having happened more recently, are more likely to bias estimates with long recall periods [ 15].
