For the qualitative selection of the teaching occupation, the results of known empirical studies are less conclusive.
As for forecasting based on search and matching models, individuals will want to change to the teaching occupation only if they expect it to be a better match.
Whether these wage expectations are indeed accurate ex post is irrelevant to what is at stake here, i.e., the selection to the teaching occupation.
Furthermore, we hypothesize that teachers change to teaching when their cumulated future compensation bundle (monetary and non-monetary benefits) is superior in the teaching occupation compared with their former occupation.
With this approach, we follow Chingos and West ([2012]), who showed that better teachers leaving the teaching occupation earn more in the outside career and therefore provide evidence of a positive correlation between teaching quality and earnings outside teaching.
The lack of consistency in their employment history makes it more difficult for these individuals to enter the vocational teaching occupation because they do not fulfill the relevant requirements (see the section on the recruitment of vocational teachers in Switzerland).
Male farmers had higher odds of current asthma; whereas lower odds of current asthma, possibly due to a cohort effect, were observed among those who were in a teaching occupation.
We therefore form the hypothesis that individuals have less of an incentive to change to teaching from occupations and industries with average salaries as high as or higher than in teaching.
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Tom Sperlinger teaches at Bristol University and is author of Romeo and Juliet in Palestine: Teaching Under Occupation.
