Using these figures and the results of the 2010 general election, the exercise modelled the effects of a uniform swing from the old boundaries to new.
There was a misplaced confidence drawn from the experience of 2010 when a Stakhanovite get-out-the-vote (GOTV) operation saved scores of seats that David Cameron should have bagged, given the national swing to the Tories.
A series of pamphlets on the attitudes of swing voters in the South of England (the Southern Discomfort series) paved the way for changes both to policy and electoral strategy.
Related: Republican elite swarm New Hampshire as host of 2016 hopefuls take the stage The full-to-bursting roster of Republican presidential aspirants expanded again over the weekend after John Kasich, the governor of the crucial swing-state of Ohio, laid the groundwork for a run on the White House with an unusual attack on Wall Street.
The former Ukip candidate also claims that the new Conservative MP, whom he has known for about 30 years, handed him a leaflet template attacking Labour's record on immigration that he recommended Rose distribute in the areas of the constituency he highlighted as being home to potential Labour/Ukip swing voters.
Farage is in a swing through northern cities in a bid to capture the Labour vote, and will not welcome this distraction in the opening days of a campaign in which he is hoping to cause a political earthquake by coming first in the popular vote in the European elections.
But Stormont has been suspended for over a year and the deadlock will continue, given the swing towards republican and unionist hardliners.
But now we're going to see the pendulum swing back the other way towards perspective and context.
In the event, in these constituencies there was an average swing of 1.4% away from us to the Tories.
The Yankees outfielder looked exactly like himself against the Blue Jays, using that patented swing to drive an RA Dickey pitch into left field and become just the third player in history to reach the 4,000-hit 4,000-hit, Ty Cobb and Pete Rose being the others.
That's what Fragonard's painting The Swing is about – the wonderful joke of the painting is that while the man tries to sneak a look up the swinging woman's skirts, Fragonard's receding, melting, luxuriant garden landscape gives the painting's beholder a sensory evocation of all he longs to see.
