Sentence examples for surprise index from inspiring English sources

Citigroup's economic surprise index (which shows whether data have been better or worse than forecasts) has been relentlessly negative since the start of the year.Does this mean that America is heading towards recession?

Mind you, it is not all good news; his global growth surprise index (whether economic data beat expectations) has turned negative.There might be a problem, Mr Cates admits, on deflation.Excess capacity in most of the world's large economies, including China..., could further undermine globally traded goods prices in the period ahead.

The caveat shorter-term is that we would rather add when the Citicorp Economic Surprise Index is well below 0 (see the Bloomberg CESIUSD Index chart below).

Take a look at the sudden divergence in Citigroup 's Economic Surprise Index in Europe compared to the U.S. The indices calculate the difference between economic data releases and survey data.

Per Amrith Ramkumar of the WSJ, "The Citigroup Economic Surprise Index, a measure of whether economic reports are meeting projections, has fallen to its lowest level in nearly a year". This now indicates that the broader economic data is coming in below expectations.

Citi's USA Surprise Index, which measures the difference between the median Bloomberg consensus estimate and the actual data, was at -43 the first week of March (and that was before the big miss on February's headline employment report (actual 20,000 vs. consensus 180,000)).

The below chart shows the Citi economic surprise indices for the Eurozone and the U.S. One thing is evidently clear, the Eurozone's economic data has started to roll over, and the chief reason for this is that the ECB has become a lot more hawkish than the Fed.

There has been a sharp fall in HSBC's activity-surprise index, which reflects whether economic numbers have surpassed or fallen short of expectations.

Citigroup's economic-surprise index for the euro zone, which reflects whether data have underperformed or beaten expectations, has jumped from -57.3 in mid-October to +49.5 on March 9th.

Even in the developed world, data have been disappointing: Citibank's economic-surprise index, which compares published data with the forecast numbers, has shown its biggest decline in a year.

It's no surprise that Index is betting on iZettle.