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The man's surest option, most inmates agreed, was to go down hard, and prey on the president's unique approach to America's pardon system.
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But cutting the deficit, fast and far, is a surer option than government spending programmes.
For those still determined to feel the weight of the fruit in their own palms, a sure option is Cascade Mountain Winery in Amenia.
HARDSHIP includes a "not sure" option and applies a rule that "not sure" implies absence of the symptom.
Simply Nutrilite products are the sure option for quick and better nutrition".
Whereas the BD were slower in their choices of the sure option before feedback compared with healthy volunteers, their response duration hastened for the sure option following feedback.
Not a priority Respondents were also given a ' Do not know/Not sure' option if they did not feel comfortable rating the priority.
To manipulate valence, we multiplied all outcome amounts by −1 to produce 56 loss trials (i.e., all outcomes ≤0, and a sure option of −4).
Expected value of half the lotteries was above the sure amount and half below (mean EV across all 56 trials was equal to the sure option in both gain and loss trials).
For each trial in the present study, participants considered whether to accept a lottery or reject it in favour of a sure option; when the lottery contains losses this could induce participants to avoid it.
Half the lotteries had an EV above the sure amount and half below (mean EV across all 56 trials was equal to the sure option with both gains and losses), which provided a simple metric of risk preference for each participant indexed as the proportion of riskier decisions made (PropRisk; risk-neutral = 0.5; risk-averse < 0.5; risk-seeking > 0.5).
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com