Jennings and Wlezien wrote "there is no evidence that poll errors have increased over time, and the performance in very recent elections is no exception". Even in the 11 elections that had occurred since mid-2015, the average polling error in gauging support for large parties was 2.6 percentage points, barely higher than the 2.3-point long-term average.
If you think this might be happening, there are several things you can do: Talk to your colleagues about their feelings concerning team morale and management support, in order to gauge their general feelings and understandings.
Gauging support in Congress is difficult at this point, with lawmakers on both sides of the issue saying they expect a messy fight.
The extent to which the events of Sept. 11 have played a role in diminishing support is hard to gauge: in past years, too, polls showed broad backing for Mr. Eyman's proposals early on, but less so as opponents stepped up their campaign before the election.
Ms. Ma said that she was optimistic about its prospects for passage, but that it was too early to gauge support in the Legislature.
So there might not be time to gauge support in the caucus for the idea or whether it has enough to become a party-wide strategy.
The administration also could decide to hold off on any immediate response to give more time to test Iraqi compliance or gauge support in the Security Council for a tough response.
Jason showed Ava the support he'd gauged earlier this week.
The party's local branch conducted polls in New York to gauge support, raised $56,000 in two big-ticket fund-raisers and even helped pay for airfare so some Dominican supporters could go home to vote, he said.
In the postscript to the 2016 US election, the inability of pollsters to gauge Donald Trump's support in key swing states, from Florida through the rust belt to Michigan and Wisconsin, is being widely studied.
Nonbinding questions on the ballot are aimed at gauging support for such a move.
