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There are two types of forecasting models: demand-based models that inform need by examining the amount of health care services needed in the future, based on projected size, demographic and healthcare profile of the population and supply projection models that estimate workforce needs to maintain current standards and volume of services per capita [ 5].
Three supply projection scenarios were used for planning purposes (Table 2).
Health workforce loss rate is commonly applied in supply projection, especially in cohort and life-table approaches.
Among the few studies that did examine supply projection, Suwannakij et al., in 1996 [ 7], applied cohort analysis and the annual loss rate method.
The supply projection approach defines the necessary inflow to maintain or to reach in the future an arbitrary predefined level of service offer.
The labour supply projection was calculated using the BIBB-DEMOS stock-flow model [ 14, 15] from the German BIBB-IAB Qualification and Occupational Field Projections (QuBe project) [ 15, 16] (see Figure 3).
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As discussed in the previous section, the first factor which will slow development of oil sands in the absence of Keystone is the fact that according to the scenarios I describe above, there is simply not sufficient transport capacity to realize the supply projections by Canadian Petroleum Producers out to 2030 even if all other projects are built and rail capacity grows most rapidly.
For demand and supply projections for neodymium, lanthanum, cerium, europium, terbium, and yttrium, see Department of Energy, 2011.
The robust and attainable supply projections are supported by the federal government, numerous independent analysts, and academic and industry data.
The 2011 Outlook is in four parts and gives a full update of energy demand and supply projections to 2035.
This may have implications for initiating management strategies and accurate mid-term timber supply projections for MPB killed stands in central BC.
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