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One recent Ipsos Mori poll suggested turnout could even fall to 15%.
Early indications suggested turnout would likely be up from the abysmal levels of 2014, and that Democrats might be able to erode the GOP's traditional enthusiasm edge in midterm elections.
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February's primary election suggests turnout among both minority groups will be high this November.
Pew carries one caution for Obama, suggesting turnout may be lower than in 2008 and 2004, which could help Romney.
Indeed, preliminary tallies of last-minute voter registrations and early votes are record-breaking, suggesting turnout will be high this year.
Yet the government was able to use the polls to reassure its supporters; the local media used some rather creative accounting to suggest turnout was over 50%, whereas the full results showed it was 17%.
In Washington, the Democratic party reported record-breaking numbers of caucusgoers, with early totals suggesting turnout would be nearly be nearly double what it was in 2004 — itself a record year — when 100,000 Democrats caucused.
They also point to figures that suggest turnout tends to be lower among younger voters.
Early results suggest turnout plunged to 33percentt in the repeat election Thursday, compared with about 80percentt in the original vote in August.
Party sources suggested the turnout was above 70%.
Miller, however, suggested low turnout among black people could be connected to culture.
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