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Jason Samenow, an excellent weather/climate blogger for the Washington Post, noted a hint of cherry-picking in the video in that a subsequent forecast actually strayed in its track, but that's minor, to my mind.
That is, if a large earthquake occurs at the end of the reference period and aftershocks continue into the subsequent forecast period, then a long-term average that is generally higher at the focal region contributes to the performance of the forecast.
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The lessons of that error have been incorporated into subsequent forecasts, which have been issued with increasing confidence each year.In any event, this will probably be the last opportunity to see a Leonid meteor storm clearly until Tempel-Tuttle comes back in another third of a century.
Training data used to build a forecasting procedure and subsequent forecasting data for which projections into the future are desired, should be realizations of the same data generation process.
All subsequent forecasts anticipated the typhoon would pass within 185 km (115 mi).
Though located within the cone of uncertainty, all subsequent forecasts predicted a landfall on North Carolina with the hurricane passing to the west of the state.
Our models and the subsequent forecasts do not take into account trends in tobacco consumption, which remains the most important causative factor for COPD in Australia, or the fact that there is a considerable "lag time" between consumption and COPD mortality.
We are also making similar revisions to our subsequent year forecasts.
Even were Bank of England governor Mark Carney able to save some face by announcing, say next February, that the Bank of England's monetary policy committee had voted to increase base rate from 0.5%to0.75%5%, subsequent rises currently forecast for the rest of 2016 – to around 2%to2.5%5% – could be delayed for several years.
The cyber level 03 provides the subsequent 6-h forecast simulation results pertaining to the water level on roads and areas that can be flooded.
The study analyzed the initial lining support time under rock burst conditions, and successfully conducted a secondary back analysis of the initial stress field and the subsequent rock burst forecast based on the rock burst disruption signs in the field.
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