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Mr. Stovall studied past periods of inflation going back to 1960, using the overall — or "headline" — Consumer Price Index as a gauge.
Historians who have studied past episodes of very high debt in the last three centuries say inflation, devaluation, roaring economic growth or selective default have often reduced the burden without severe pain.
They've spent pretty much the whole past four years issuing dire warnings about inflation and soaring interest rates that keep not coming true; they cling to the belief that if only a Republican were in office we'd have a 1982-style revenery even though economists who actually studied past financial crises predicted the slow recovery in advance.
Later, the pair took chemistry and physics books out from the local library, and studied past incidents online, like the first World Trade Center attack in 1993 and the Oklahoma City bombing in 1995.
Even those who had finished their schooling between the ages of 16 19 were considerably less likely to donate than those who had studied past the age of 20.
BBC Chinese Olympics reporter Chen Zhuang - who has studied past performances and present form of the Chinese and US teams - sits somewhere in between these two predictions.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com