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A 3-point gain for Mr. Romney would be consistent with what candidates received following some of the stronger debate performances in the past.
Still, it seems likely that Mr. Romney will make at least some gains in head-to-head polls after the debate, and entirely plausible that they will be toward the high end of the historical range, in which polls moved by about three percentage points toward the candidate who was thought to have the stronger debate.
Mr. Cheney, whom strategists in both parties said delivered a stronger debate performance than President Bush had a week earlier, mocked the Democrats, accusing them of engaging in little more than "tough talk" on national defense matters in the heat of a campaign.
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"In France, in particular, we faced strong debate around globalisation.
He believed that strong debate performances would bring him more money than personal calls.
Corner kick: This topic has prompted strong debate on the Goal blog before.
Even with those caveats, the C.I.A.'s new assessment has prompted strong debate within the government.
He supposedly needed a strong debate performance to have any chance against George W Bush.
But Mr. Obama and Mr. Romney also had campaign organizations capable of capitalizing on strong debate performances.
Now there will be a strong debate about his participation in the South Africa series.
It will be a point of strong debate on the fringe.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com