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Polls have repeatedly shown him with a small but statistically significant lead over the other three Democrats.
Mr. Kerry's aides said they had a statistically significant lead in Ohio and New Hampshire as well, but Mr. Bush's advisers disputed that.
Obama retains a statistically significant lead in the Ohio polls.
Therefore, a five- or six-point statistically significant lead is meaningful and surely has registered with the Romney team.
Given the way the model combines the samples from multiple polls, relatively small margins can quickly produce a very high level of confidence in a statistically significant lead.
Despite (or because of) his famous last name, he does not have a statistically significant lead in any national or state poll.
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Simply having millions of hardworking scientists searching fervently and creatively in billions of analyses for something statistically significant can lead to very high rates of false-positives (red-herring claims about things that don't exist) or inflated results.
A transformation may be statistically significant but lead to a low absolute effect (e.g. a toxicity reduction of 0.1 log unit).
Then a mellowing out of that bounce; after a couple weeks, the numbers will look like they did preconvention in the national tracking polls, with a slight, but statistically significant, Obama lead.
aAll genotype frequencies are in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (α = 0.05); bNone of the differences in geometric mean BLL by variant status are statistically significant; cblood lead level (μg/dL); dconfidence interval.
When both plasma and whole blood lead are simultaneously evaluated, although none of the standardized coefficients are statistically significant, the plasma lead coefficient is more than twice as great as its blood lead counterpart (−1.68, p = 0.36; and −0.77, p = 0.68, respectively).
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com